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2024-12-13 21:34:39

Reuters survey: Most economists expect Britain to basically avoid the impact of Trump tariffs. According to the Reuters survey, most economists expect that US President-elect Trump will impose tariffs of less than 10% or not at all on goods imported from Britain next year, which will have little impact on the British economy. This is in stark contrast to a similar poll last month. Last month's polls showed that people were generally worried that the EU would be hit harder. Britain officially withdrew from the EU in 2020. Part of the reason why economists are more optimistic about Britain is that although one-fifth of Britain's total trade is with the United States, the proposed tariffs will focus on goods, and only one-third of Britain's exports are goods.The Japanese yen faces new risks. Strategists worry that the Bank of Japan may wait until March or later to raise interest rates. A new risk is emerging for the Japanese yen. Foreign exchange strategists in Tokyo warn that the Bank of Japan may wait until March or later next year to raise interest rates. On Wednesday, the market tasted this danger, and the yen fell to its lowest level in more than two weeks as traders responded to a Bloomberg report that the Bank of Japan is known to think that it is no harm to raise interest rates later. The yen only fell to 152.82 against the dollar, and the market is still debating whether the Bank of Japan will take action at its next meeting on December 19 or about a month later. Shusuke Yamada, head of Japan's foreign exchange and interest rate strategy at Bank of America in Tokyo, said that if policymakers put off raising interest rates for a longer time, the situation would be very different. "If the interest rate hike is postponed until March, the yen carry trade is likely to make a comeback," Yamada said on Thursday. "The yen is likely to fall again to a level just below the 157 mark hit in 155 or November."Adobe's US stocks fell about 9% before the market, and the company's annual performance guidance was worse than expected.


European Commission President: Romania and Bulgaria have become full members of the Schengen area. European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen said on social media that Romania and Bulgaria have become full members of the Schengen area.Reuters survey: In December, the Bank of England decided to keep interest rates unchanged or cut interest rates by 100 basis points next year. All 71 economists surveyed during December 6-11 predicted that the Bank of England would keep its target interest rate unchanged at 4.75% at its meeting on December 19. Among the economists who predict the interest rate outlook until the end of 2025, about 54% (36 out of 67) expect to cut interest rates by 100 basis points by the end of next year, another 17 expect to cut interest rates by at least 125 basis points, and 14 expect to cut interest rates by at most 75 basis points.Han Yong's bribery case of illegally accepting property of more than 261 million yuan was heard in the first instance. On December 12, 2024, the Nanning Intermediate People's Court of Guangxi Zhuang Autonomous Region held a trial in the first instance to hear the bribery case of Han Yong, former deputy director of Chinese People's Political Consultative Conference Population, Resources and Environment Committee and former party secretary and chairman of Shaanxi Provincial Political Consultative Conference. The Nanning Municipal People's Procuratorate sued the accusation: From 1993 to 2023, the defendant Han Yong took advantage of his position as Party Secretary and Procurator-General of Songyuan Municipal People's Procuratorate of Jilin Province, Party Member and Deputy Procurator-General of Jilin Provincial People's Procuratorate, Deputy Secretary of Jilin Provincial Commission for Discipline Inspection, Standing Committee of Xinjiang Uygur Autonomous Region Party Committee, Minister and Deputy Secretary of Organization Department, Party Secretary and Chairman of Shaanxi Provincial Political Consultative Conference, and the convenience of his authority and position to help relevant units and individuals in business operation, project contracting and cadre appointment. The procuratorial organ requested Han Yong to be investigated for criminal responsibility for accepting bribes.


US natural gas futures rose 6% in the day, and US natural gas futures rose 6% in the day, and are now reported at $3.353 per million British heat.Tschudin, member of the management Committee of the Swiss National Bank: Due to the monetary easing policy, Swiss economic growth is expected to pick up slightly next year. Overseas developments are the main risks facing the Swiss economy.Schlegel, Governor of the Swiss National Bank: We will continue to monitor inflationary pressure and adjust monetary policy to maintain price stability if necessary. Without today's interest rate cut, inflation expectations would be lower. The uncertainty of the future inflation path is still high. The medium-term inflationary pressure has dropped significantly.

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